研究所日报-20251021

Economic Performance - China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with a 4.8% increase in Q3[2] - Industrial added value increased by 6.5% year-on-year in September, while retail sales grew by 3%[2] - Fixed asset investment declined by 0.5% year-on-year, and real estate investment fell by 13.9%[2] Policy and Market Outlook - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session began on October 20, focusing on the 15th Five-Year Plan, which may guide future capital market directions[3] - The U.S. and China are set to resume trade negotiations, with key issues including rare earths, fentanyl, and soybeans[3] Industry Insights - The cement industry is tightening capacity replacement policies, which may stabilize prices in the future[4] - As of September 2025, the number of electric vehicle charging facilities reached 18.063 million, a 54.5% increase year-on-year[4] Market Performance - A-share total market capitalization is 103.87 trillion, with a year-to-date increase of 18.01 trillion[15] - The average daily trading volume is 16.7431 billion, with a PE ratio of 22.09x[15] Investment Risks - Potential risks include insufficient policy support, unexpected adjustments in the real estate market, and escalating U.S.-China tensions[30]