资金透视：交易型资金小幅降温

Core Insights - The market is experiencing a slight cooling of trading funds, with indicators of market profitability and sentiment returning to historical mid-levels, suggesting that the market correction may be sufficient [2] - Trading funds are still active, but retail and margin financing funds have shifted to net outflows, indicating a slowdown in the inflow rate of margin financing [2][3] - There is a rebound in the willingness of allocation funds to "buy the dip," with public fund positions showing signs of recovery for the first time since mid-August [4] Trading Funds Activity - The number of investors participating in trading has marginally decreased to levels seen in early September, with retail funds showing a net outflow of 13.7 billion [3][10] - The inflow rate of margin financing has significantly slowed, with a net outflow of 12.8 billion last week, marking the lowest trading activity since September 2025 [3][16] - The number of private equity fund registrations has rebounded to 270, returning to mid-August issuance levels [3] Allocation Funds Behavior - Public fund positions have shown a recovery for the first time since mid-August, with funds adopting a "barbell" strategy by increasing allocations in defensive sectors like finance while also betting on consumer sectors [4][30] - Active allocation foreign capital saw a net inflow of 7.8 billion during the last reporting period, marking a new high for 2025 [4] Northbound Capital Analysis - Northbound capital has slightly reduced its holdings in A-shares, with technology sectors being the main focus for increased investment, particularly in electronics and power equipment [5] - In the consumer sector, funds have reduced holdings in liquor and pharmaceuticals, while increasing investments in pig farming [5] Fund Flow Overview - Retail funds experienced a net outflow of 13.7 billion, with net inflows observed in banking, non-bank financials, and metals, while outflows were noted in computing and basic chemicals [6][10] - Margin financing funds saw a net outflow of 12.8 billion, with inflows into non-bank financials and basic chemicals, while outflows occurred in electronics and communications [6][16] - Public funds have seen a rebound in both new issuance and existing fund positions, with an increase in equity allocations [6][30] ETF Activity - Last week, stock ETFs saw a net inflow of 19 billion, while broad-based ETFs experienced a net outflow of 18.8 billion, with significant inflows in sectors like metals and banking [40][41] - The average trading volume of ETFs has increased to 200 billion since mid-July, compared to 100 billion in the first half of 2025 [40] Private Equity Trends - The number of private equity fund registrations has increased, indicating a stable market environment despite recent adjustments [52][57] - The average position of subjective long-only private equity funds has risen to 78%, with a significant proportion of managers planning to increase their positions [52]