Shanxi Securities·2025-10-21 03:12Investment Rating - The report maintains an "A" rating for the automotive parts sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment in this industry [1]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing rapid growth in intelligent driving technologies, with China leading the way. The penetration rate of intelligent vehicles in China reached 57.1% in 2023 and is expected to rise to 99.7% by 2030, with a market size exceeding one trillion yuan [1][14]. - The L2 level intelligent driving solutions have become mainstream, with a year-on-year growth of 37% in 2023. The market is expected to see significant increases in the penetration of L3 and above intelligent driving solutions, outpacing global growth rates [1][14]. - Domestic chip manufacturers are gaining traction, with companies like Horizon Robotics and Black Sesame Technology leading the charge in providing high-performance chips for intelligent driving applications [2][51][70]. Summary by Sections Automotive Intelligent Driving Market - The global intelligent driving market is rapidly expanding, with China achieving a penetration rate exceeding 50%. In 2023, the sales of intelligent vehicles in China reached 12.4 million units, accounting for 57.1% of total new car sales [14]. - The market for Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) is continuously growing, with L2 and above solutions becoming the market standard. The expected market size for L0 to L2+ solutions is projected to grow from 90.9 billion yuan in 2024 to 223.9 billion yuan by 2029, with a CAGR of 19.7% [32][33]. Domestic Chip Development - The automotive chip market is substantial, with an estimated size of 71.2 billion yuan in 2024, expected to exceed 170 billion yuan by 2030. The demand for higher chip performance is increasing due to the ongoing electrification and intelligentization of vehicles [41]. - The ADAS SoC market reached 27.5 billion yuan globally and 14.1 billion yuan in China in 2023, with a projected CAGR of 27.5% and 28.6% respectively from 2023 to 2028 [46]. Key Players and Investment Opportunities - Horizon Robotics is positioned as a leading domestic supplier of intelligent driving chips, with its products expected to cover a wide range of intelligent driving applications. The company has seen significant revenue growth, with a projected revenue of 2.384 billion yuan in 2024 [66]. - Black Sesame Technology is also a key player, focusing on high-performance chips for various intelligent driving scenarios. The company aims to expand its market share in both mid-range and high-end markets, leveraging its cost advantages [70]. Investment Recommendations - Focus on companies benefiting from the dual increase in value and penetration in the intelligent driving chip segment, such as Horizon Robotics and Black Sesame Technology [6]. - The Tier 1 segment still has room for domestic replacement, with potential for deepening customer relationships through core products like domain controllers and sensors. Key companies to watch include Desay SV, Jingwei Hirain, and Qianli Technology [6].