CCG(SH:605099) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-21 08:14Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Buy" based on the company's improving profitability and positive industry supply-demand dynamics [6]. Core Insights - The company is a leading global supplier of artificial turf, benefiting from increasing penetration rates and stable sales growth. The sales volume of artificial turf reached 49.48 million square meters in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.5% [6]. - The company is actively reducing costs and improving efficiency, with a net profit margin of 20.5% in H1 2025, up 1.7 percentage points year-on-year. The gross profit margin for the same period was 33.2%, reflecting a 2.3 percentage point increase [6]. - The company's multi-base global layout helps mitigate trade risks, with significant production capacity in Vietnam and plans for further expansion [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,952 million yuan in 2024 to 4,685 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16.6% [2][8]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 511 million yuan in 2024 to 932 million yuan in 2027, representing a CAGR of 17.8% [2][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 1.28 yuan in 2024 to 2.32 yuan in 2027 [2][8]. Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 30.61 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24 for 2024, decreasing to 13 by 2027 [3][8]. - The company has a market capitalization of 12,287 million yuan and a dividend yield of 2.09% [3].