Guoyuan Securities·2025-10-21 08:26Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the mechanical industry [6]. Core Insights - The mechanical industry is experiencing steady growth, particularly in the low-altitude economy and machinery sectors, supported by policy initiatives and technological advancements [3][4]. - The report highlights a significant increase in excavator sales, with a total of 19,858 units sold in September 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 25.4%, including a domestic sales increase of 21.5% and an export increase of 29% [3]. Weekly Market Review - From October 13 to October 17, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.47%, while the ShenZhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 4.99% and 5.71%, respectively. The Shenwan Mechanical Equipment Index dropped by 5.84%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.62 percentage points, ranking 27th among 31 Shenwan first-level industries [11]. - Within sub-sectors, the performance varied, with general equipment down by 5.62%, specialized equipment down by 5.74%, rail transit equipment II down by 2.22%, engineering machinery down by 3.04%, and automation equipment down by 9.06% [11]. Key Sector Tracking - Low-altitude Economy: The Suzhou Development and Reform Commission released a dual list of capabilities and demands for the low-altitude economy, indicating strong local enterprise involvement in aircraft development and operations [3]. - Machinery Equipment: The report emphasizes the competitive advantage of domestic leading enterprises in both supply and demand, with a positive outlook for the engineering machinery sector [3]. Investment Recommendations - For the low-altitude economy, recommended companies include Deep City Transportation, Sujiao Science and Technology, Huasheng Group, and Nairui Radar. In the complete machine sector, focus on Wan Feng Ao Wei, Yihang Intelligent, Zongheng Co., and Green Energy Hui Charge. Key component manufacturers include Zongshen Power, Wolong Electric Drive, Yingliu Co., and Yingboer. In air traffic management and operations, consider CITIC Heli, Zhongke Xingtu, and Sichuan Jiuzhou [4]. - In the machinery equipment sector, recommended companies include Juxing Technology, Quan Feng Holdings, and Nine Company for the export chain, and Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Anhui Heli for engineering machinery [4]. Economic Data Tracking - The report tracks various economic indicators, including the manufacturing PMI and fixed asset investment completion rates, which provide insights into the overall health of the manufacturing sector [40][44].