ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-10-21 11:18Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the defense and military industry [6]. Core Insights - The upcoming 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session will focus on the "14th Five-Year Plan," which is expected to support the modernization of national defense and military by 2035, building on the achievements of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [9][23]. - The J-35 aircraft's production ramp-up is anticipated to boost the traditional domestic demand, with upstream material suppliers already announcing significant contracts that will support future revenue growth [9][23]. - The aerospace engine industry is experiencing sustained high demand, with the completion of price adjustments and inventory reduction, alongside ongoing state-owned enterprise reforms [10][23]. - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a critical development phase, with plans to launch approximately 2,100 satellites by 2025 and significant advancements in satellite manufacturing capabilities [11][23]. - Global military expenditure is expected to reach new highs in 2024, driven by geopolitical tensions, creating opportunities for domestic military trade [12][23]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The defense and military industry comprises 144 listed companies with a total market value of 28,244.53 billion and a circulating market value of 24,587.80 billion [3]. Market Performance - The defense and military index fell by 4.70% this week, ranking 23rd among 31 major industries [8][36]. - The current PE (TTM) for the defense and military sector is 73.8 times, with various sub-sectors showing different valuations [8][42]. Key Developments - The report highlights the importance of the upcoming 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session, which will focus on the "14th Five-Year Plan" and its implications for national defense [9][23]. - The aerospace engine sector is expected to benefit from military trade advancements and the introduction of new engine models, such as the CJ-1000A, which is set to enter commercial operation by 2030 [10][11][23]. - The commercial space sector is projected to see significant growth, with plans for large-scale satellite launches and advancements in satellite manufacturing capabilities [11][35]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in missile and military electronics, aerospace engines, and military trade, highlighting specific firms such as Zhonghang Chengfei, Zhonghang Shenfei, and Huazhong Technology [19][25][26][27][28].