Ruida Futures(SZ:002961) Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-10-21 11:15Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The shipping index (European Line) futures prices rose collectively on Tuesday, with the main contract EC2512 up 5.1% and the far - month contracts up 1 - 3%. The latest SCFIS European Line settlement freight rate index rebounded by 108.58 points from last week, up 10.5% month - on - month, and the spot index turned from decline to increase. Recently, there are a mix of long and short factors. The trade war situation is unclear, the "peace plan" in the Middle East promotes the improvement of the Red Sea shipping resumption expectation, and the oversupply pattern is stable. The futures price is expected to fluctuate widely. The freight rate market is greatly affected by news, and the futures price is expected to fluctuate more sharply. It is recommended that investors be cautious, pay attention to the operation rhythm and risk control, and track geopolitical, shipping capacity and cargo volume data in a timely manner [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - EC main contract closing price: 1769.300, up 85.9; EC sub - main contract closing price: 1568, up 43.8. EC2512 - EC2602 spread: 201.30, up 41.30; EC2512 - EC2604 spread: 605.50, up 78.60. EC contract basis: - 628.92, down 87.30. EC main contract open interest: 28434, up 2333 [1] Spot Market - SCFIS (European Line) (weekly): 1140.38, up 108.58; SCFIS (US West Line) (weekly): 863.46, down 14.34. SCFI (composite index) (weekly): 1310.32, up 149.90; container ship capacity (10,000 TEUs): 1227.97, up 0.25. CCFI (composite index) (weekly): 973.11, down 41.67; CCFI (European Line) (weekly): 1267.91, down 19.24. Baltic Dry Index (daily): 2069.00, up 2.00; Panama Freight Index (daily): 1827.00, up 2.00. Average charter price (Panamax): 16692.00, up 1078.00; average charter price (Capesize): 28559.00, down 286.00 [1] Industry News - The US and China are about to return to the negotiation table. Trump listed rare earths, fentanyl and soybeans as the three issues to be raised to China. China's stance on Sino - US economic and trade issues is consistent and clear. Trump and Australian Prime Minister Albanese signed an agreement on rare earths and critical minerals. The US and Australian governments plan to jointly invest more than $3 billion in critical mineral projects in the next 6 months, with an estimated recoverable resource value of $53 billion [1] Key Factors Affecting the Market - The strike crisis at Rotterdam Port has escalated, with the original 48 - hour strike extended indefinitely, causing a full - scale halt to port container handling operations. More than 60 ships are waiting at sea, increasing regional supply chain uncertainty. CMA CGM announced a price increase letter for November, boosting the futures price. Trump continued to send out easing signals, alleviating trade war tensions and driving a slight rebound in freight rates. Israel and Hamas agreed to the first phase of the US - proposed "peace plan" for the Gaza Strip, improving the Red Sea shipping resumption expectation and weakening the support for futures prices. The eurozone's recent economic data has fluctuated, with business sentiment indices weaker than expected. The ECB stated that it will slow down the pace of interest rate cuts. China's improved export data in September supports the shipping industry [1] Key Data to Watch - UK September CPI monthly rate at 14:00 on October 22; UK September retail price index monthly rate at 14:00 on October 22 [1]