HUAXI Securities·2025-10-21 14:18Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in operating performance, with significant increases in both gross margin and net margin, alongside rapid growth in AI revenue [2][4][6] - The company is actively pursuing opportunities in AI computing power and satellite communication, aiming to enhance its business capabilities and explore new growth areas [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 794.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, and a total profit of 146.80 billion yuan, up 3% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 115.35 billion yuan, growing by 4.0% year-on-year [2] - For Q3 2025 alone, operating revenue was 250.90 billion yuan, a 2.5% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 31.12 billion yuan, up 1.4% [2] User Growth - The personal market saw a net increase of 4.56 million mobile customers, reaching 1.009 billion users, with 5G network customers totaling 622 million [3] - In the family market, wired broadband users increased by 14.20 million to 329 million, while the average ARPU for family customers remained stable at 44.4 yuan per household per month [3] Cost Control and Profitability - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 31.1%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin rose to 14.5%, up 0.5 percentage points [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company is committed to advancing its AI computing capabilities and has received a license for satellite mobile communication operations, indicating a strategic focus on innovative technologies [5][6] - The company plans to double its investment in AI by the end of 2028, aiming to build the largest intelligent computing infrastructure in the country [5] Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1,072.48 billion yuan, 1,107.34 billion yuan, and 1,143.99 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 144.82 billion yuan, 151.55 billion yuan, and 158.43 billion yuan [6][8]