Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The Q3 performance of brand apparel and textile manufacturing continues to show a trend of differentiation, with a focus on companies with improving performance metrics. LVMH's Q3 revenue exceeded expectations, leading to a rebound in the luxury goods sector [1][3][48] - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying strong alpha investment opportunities, particularly in the brand and manufacturing segments, amidst tariff disturbances affecting demand [3][48] Summary by Sections Q3 Performance Preview - Brand apparel is expected to see sequential revenue improvement, with profit growth remaining divergent. Men's wear brands like HLA Group and Biem.L.Fdlkk are projected to achieve stable revenue growth, while women's wear leader Shenzhen Ellassay Fashion is anticipated to continue its strong performance [5][6][48] - Home textiles, particularly Shanghai Shuixing Home Textile, are expected to achieve double-digit revenue and profit growth, while Samsonite International's revenue is projected to decline slightly year-over-year [5][6][48] Market Review - The textile and apparel sector saw a slight decline of 0.31% in the A-share market, outperforming the broader market by 1.91 percentage points. The textile manufacturing segment fell by 2.73%, while the apparel and home textile segment rose by 0.41% [8][11] Industry Data Tracking - Retail sales in August 2025 for clothing, shoes, and textiles grew by 3.1%, while textile and apparel exports in September 2025 decreased by 1.45% year-over-year. The overall retail sales growth for social consumer goods was 3.4% [20][23] - Cotton prices have shown a slight decline, with the China 3128B cotton price index dropping by 0.74% to 14,679 RMB per ton [24][27]
关注三季报业绩向好标的，LVMH25Q3超预期，带动奢侈品板块表现回升
Haitong Securities International·2025-10-21 14:42