Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint The futures market is expected to fluctuate in the short - term. With support from the consumption peak season, the short - term supply - demand pattern is favorable, and inventory is continuously decreasing. However, if mines resume production and consumption weakens, the market may decline. For trading, short - term interval operations are recommended, and if the market rebounds significantly, selling hedging at high prices can be considered [1][3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - On October 21, 2025, the opening price of the lithium carbonate main contract 2601 was 75,920 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 75,980 yuan/ton, a - 0.26% change from the previous settlement price. The trading volume was 197,979 lots, and the open interest was 310,199 lots, an increase from the previous trading day's 293,283 lots. The current basis was - 1,580 yuan/ton, and the number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts was 2,9892 lots, a decrease of 813 lots from the previous day [1]. - According to SMM data, the price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 73,600 - 74,600 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan/ton from the previous day; the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 71,250 - 72,450 yuan/ton, also an increase of 100 yuan/ton. The price of 6% lithium concentrate was 865 US dollars/ton, an increase of 5 US dollars/ton [1]. - Downstream material factories maintained a high operating rate, and demand supported spot transactions. New production lines were put into operation at both the spodumene and salt - lake ends, and the total lithium carbonate production in October was expected to increase. In terms of demand, both the power and energy - storage markets were booming. Overall, supply was tight and inventory was decreasing in October [1]. - As of the end of September 2025, the total number of electric vehicle charging infrastructure (guns) in China reached 18.063 million, a year - on - year increase of 54.5%. Among them, public charging facilities were 4.476 million, a year - on - year increase of 40%, with a total rated power of 19.9 billion kilowatts and an average power of about 44.36 kilowatts; private charging facilities were 13.587 million, a year - on - year increase of 60%, and the declared power capacity for private charging facilities was 12 billion kilovolt - amperes [2]. Strategy - Unilateral: Short - term interval operations are recommended. If the market rebounds significantly, selling hedging at high prices can be considered [3]. - Cross - period: No relevant strategy is provided. - Cross - variety: No relevant strategy is provided. - Spot - futures: No relevant strategy is provided. - Options: No relevant strategy is provided.
新能源及有色金属日报：现货小幅上调，盘面维持震荡运行-20251022
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2025-10-22 02:24