zhenhua chemical(SH:603067)2025-10-22 05:13Investment Rating - The report initiates a "BUY" rating for Hubei Zhenhua Chemical, with a target price of 22.61 yuan based on a 19x PE for FY26 [3][13]. Core Insights - The integration of Xinjiang Singhorn is expected to leverage synergistic value across three bases, enhancing the company's strategic direction and overall interests [4][15]. - The chromium salt industry structure is anticipated to improve due to heavy metal policies aimed at eliminating outdated production capacities, benefiting companies with advanced clean production processes [4][15]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 706 million, 844 million, and 980 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting significant growth rates of 49.4% and 19.5% [3][5]. - Total revenue is expected to grow from 4,067 million yuan in 2024 to 6,293 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13.4% [5]. - The gross profit margin is projected to maintain a competitive edge, with an advantage of 13 to 15 percentage points over other mainstream manufacturers [4][15]. Market Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, both the quantity and price of chromium metal increased, with shipments exceeding 5,400 tons, indicating a positive market outlook for the second half of the year [2][12]. - The company’s production capacity for chromium metal is currently limited to around 1,200 tons, with expectations of improved demand realization in the upcoming quarters [2][12].