政策与大类资产配置周观察：翘首十五五规划出炉

Domestic Policy News - President Xi Jinping emphasized the importance of women's development at the Global Women's Summit, highlighting women's roles as creators and transmitters of civilization [9] - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, focused on reducing logistics costs and promoting green trade during a recent meeting, aiming to enhance the modern logistics system [10][11] - The Ministry of Finance announced a limit of 500 billion yuan for local government debt to support the resolution of existing debts and promote effective investment [21] International Policy News - The IMF projected a 3.2% growth for the global economy in 2025, while noting signs of a significant slowdown in the US economy [16][20] - The recent IMF and World Bank meetings highlighted concerns over rising trade tensions and their potential impact on global economic stability [19] Equity Market Analysis - The A-share market saw a slight decline, with the ChiNext and CSI 500 indices dropping over 5%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 4.34% [22] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission revised the Corporate Governance Code to enhance the governance standards of listed companies, effective January 1, 2026 [23][24] Fixed Income Market Analysis - The central bank conducted a net withdrawal of 69.79 billion yuan in the open market, maintaining liquidity above 1.4% [40] - The Ministry of Finance's announcement to allocate 500 billion yuan from local government debt limits aims to support local fiscal stability and effective investment [42] Commodity Market Analysis - The prices of non-ferrous metals declined, while precious metals saw a rebound; the overall commodity market showed mixed trends post-holiday [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission issued guidelines to support energy-saving and carbon reduction investments in key industries [11] Foreign Exchange Market Analysis - The US dollar index weakened to 98.56, while the Chinese yuan appreciated to 7.13, reflecting a 0.29% weekly increase [4] - The central bank emphasized the market's decisive role in exchange rate formation, amid ongoing trade tensions with the US [4]