瑞达期货沪铅产业日报-20251022

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - On October 22, the lead price fluctuated at a high level, and the recycled lead price was mainly stable. The supply side has limited short - term increase in primary lead production due to refinery maintenance, and the recycled lead supply is expected to increase. The demand side has a strong wait - and - see attitude among downstream enterprises, and the overall demand is in a slow recovery stage. Considering the inventory situation and the upcoming super central bank week, the Shanghai lead futures market is expected to remain high next week [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main Shanghai lead futures contract was 17,160 yuan/ton, with a flat change; the LME 3 - month lead quote was 1,993 US dollars/ton, down 1 US dollar. The 11 - 12 month contract spread of Shanghai lead was - 15 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan. The Shanghai lead open interest was 88,572 lots, an increase of 1,744 lots. The net position of the top 20 in Shanghai lead was - 2,728 lots, an increase of 870 lots. The Shanghai lead warehouse receipts were 24,977 tons, a decrease of 3,156 tons. The SHFE inventory was 41,701 tons, an increase of 1,785 tons, and the LME lead inventory was 247,300 tons, unchanged [3]. 现货 Market - The spot price of 1 lead in Shanghai Non - ferrous Metals Network was 17,000 yuan/ton, unchanged; the spot price of 1 lead in Yangtze River Non - ferrous Metals Market was 17,210 yuan/ton, unchanged. The basis of the lead main contract was - 160 yuan/ton, unchanged; the LME lead premium (0 - 3) was - 39.69 US dollars/ton, an increase of 2.09 US dollars [3]. Upstream Situation - The average开工 rate of primary lead was 81.64%, down 1.92 percentage points, and the weekly output was 3.91 tons, an increase of 0.18 tons. The price of 50% - 60% lead concentrate in Jiyuan was 16,396 yuan, down 75 yuan. The capacity utilization rate of recycled lead was 35.56%, down 2.32 percentage points, and the monthly output was 22.42 tons, a decrease of 6.75 tons. The global lead mine production was 379.9 thousand tons, a decrease of 16 thousand tons, and the lead ore import volume was 13.48 tons, an increase of 1.27 tons [3]. 产业 Situation - The refined lead import volume was 1,820.55 tons, a decrease of 1,596.29 tons, and the export volume was 2,752.22 tons, an increase of 957.7 tons. The domestic processing fee of lead concentrate was 380 yuan/ton, unchanged. The average price of waste batteries was 9,991.07 yuan/ton, unchanged [3]. Downstream Situation - The export volume of batteries was 49,680 thousand pieces, an increase of 1,925 thousand pieces. The average price of lead - antimony alloy for batteries was 19,750 yuan/ton, unchanged. The Shenwan industry index of batteries and other cells was 2,002.86 points, an increase of 22.32 points. The monthly automobile production was 322.7 tons, an increase of 47.46 tons, and the new energy vehicle production was 133.3 tons, an increase of 15.7 tons [3]. Industry News - On October 22, the lead price fluctuated at a high level, and the recycled lead price was mainly stable. The price of reduced lead was reported at 15,800 - 15,900 yuan/ton, and the price of recycled refined lead was reported at 15,800 - 15,850 yuan/ton ex - factory [3].