碳酸锂数据日报-20251023

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - In the short - term, lithium carbonate futures prices may fluctuate with a bullish bias due to increased purchasing demand during the quarterly peak season, creating a short - term supply - demand mismatch that supports prices from below. The upside space depends on lithium carbonate supply resumption and hedging pressure. In the long - term, the pattern of oversupply remains unchanged [3] Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 74,350 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 250 yuan/ton; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 72,100 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 250 yuan/ton [1] Lithium Futures Contracts - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2510 is 76,180 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 0.53%; lithium carbonate 2511 is 76,780 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 1.78%; lithium carbonate 2512 is 77,080 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 1.69%; lithium carbonate 2601 is 77,120 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 1.63%; lithium carbonate 2602 is 76,900 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 1.61% [1] Lithium Ore - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) has an average price of 857 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 3 yuan/ton; lithium mica (Li20:1.5% - 2.0%) is 1115 yuan/ton; lithium mica (Li20:2.0% - 2.5%) is 1845 yuan/ton; phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20:6% - 7%) is 6475 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 145 yuan/ton; phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20:7% - 8%) is 7650 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 130 yuan/ton [1][2] Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 34,185 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 110 yuan/ton; the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 156,900 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 100 yuan/ton; the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 136,300 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 300 yuan/ton; the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 136,350 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 200 yuan/ton [2] Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2250 yuan/ton; the price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 2770 yuan/ton with a change of - 890 yuan/ton; the price spread between the near - month and the first - continued contract is - 300 yuan/ton with a change of 40 yuan/ton; the price spread between the near - month and the second - continued contract is - 340 yuan/ton with a change of 60 yuan/ton [2] Inventory - The total weekly inventory is 132,658 tons with a decrease of 2143 tons; the weekly inventory of smelters is 34,283 tons with a decrease of 464 tons; the weekly inventory of downstream is 57,735 tons with a decrease of 2030 tons; the weekly inventory of others is 40,640 tons with an increase of 350 tons; the daily registered warehouse receipts are 29,019 tons with a decrease of 873 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate is 75,146 yuan/ton with a profit of - 1873 yuan/ton; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate is 77,947 yuan/ton with a profit of - 6672 yuan/ton [3] Technological Breakthrough - A research team led by Huang Xuejie from the Chinese Academy of Sciences' Institute of Physics has developed an anion regulation technology to solve the problem of poor contact between the electrolyte and lithium electrodes in all - solid - state metal lithium batteries, and the research results were published in the international academic journal "Nature - Sustainable Development" [3]