Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% within the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue growth of 11.6% to 25.9 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2024/25, with the main brand's revenue increasing by 10.1% to 18.48 billion yuan, demonstrating resilience despite a warm winter [1][3]. - The company is expected to maintain a revenue growth rate of 10% for the full fiscal year 2025/26, with net profit growth projected to exceed revenue growth [3]. - The launch of the "Puff" series at Paris Fashion Week and the introduction of the AREAL high-end urban line are part of the company's strategy to enhance brand image and international influence [2][3]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal year 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 25.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.6% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 3.51 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 14.3% [4]. - The company anticipates revenue growth of 10.1%, 10.4%, and 10.5% for the fiscal years 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, reaching 28.51 billion yuan, 31.46 billion yuan, and 34.77 billion yuan [3][4]. Market Conditions - A significant drop in temperatures and a later Spring Festival in 2026 are expected to positively impact winter clothing sales, extending the sales season by approximately 15 days compared to 2025 [3]. - The company is focusing on product development in collaboration with internationally renowned designers and enhancing product functionality to strengthen its market position [3]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.92 billion yuan, 4.41 billion yuan, and 4.93 billion yuan for the fiscal years 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 11.7%, 12.4%, and 11.8% [4][3]. - The estimated price-to-earnings ratios for the next three fiscal years are 13, 12, and 11 times, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [3].
波司登(03998):跟踪点评:携手前迪奥设计师,期待旺季销售