东兴证券晨报-20251023
Dongxing Securities·2025-10-23 13:06

Economic News - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission held a meeting to discuss the "14th Five-Year Plan" for central enterprises, emphasizing the need to enhance core functions and competitiveness while optimizing layout and structure [2] - The Ministry of Commerce reported that the number of applications for the 2025 vehicle trade-in subsidy has exceeded 10 million, with new energy vehicles accounting for 57.2% of the trade-ins, leading to a 24.4% year-on-year increase in retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles [2] - The National Energy Administration announced that the total electricity consumption in September reached 888.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [2] - The Ministry of Commerce confirmed that China and the U.S. will hold economic and trade consultations from October 24 to 27 in Malaysia [3] Company Insights - Jingwei Technology reported a revenue of 2.55 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 107.21%, with a net profit of 353.19 million yuan, up 336.33% [4] - North Navigation achieved a revenue of 7.65 billion yuan in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 52.12%, with a net profit of 8.30 million yuan, up 1,681.27% [4] - The company "聚灿光电" reported a revenue of 2.499 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.59%, with a net profit of 173 million yuan, up 8.43% [5][6] - The company is experiencing strong demand for its high-end products, particularly in MiniLED and automotive lighting, leading to historical highs in revenue and net profit [6][7] - The company is transitioning from a monochrome to a full-color chip supplier, enhancing its product matrix across key application areas [7] - The company is expected to maintain growth, with EPS projections of 0.29 yuan, 0.39 yuan, and 0.47 yuan for 2025-2027, maintaining a "recommend" rating [8] Industry Insights - The company "泡泡玛特" reported a revenue growth of 245%-250% in Q3 2025, with domestic revenue increasing by 185%-190% and overseas revenue by 365%-370% [10][11] - The domestic market saw a significant increase in both online and offline channels, with online sales growing by 300%-305% [10] - The overseas market, particularly in Europe and the Americas, is experiencing explosive growth, with revenue increases of 735%-740% and 1265%-1270% respectively [11] - The company is expected to continue its rapid growth trajectory, with projections for net profits of 13.87 billion, 19.06 billion, and 24.54 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, maintaining a "recommend" rating [12]