Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that exceeds the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.384 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.49%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 185 million yuan, up 14.12% year-on-year. In Q3 2025 alone, revenue reached 513 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 20.65%, and net profit of 60 million yuan, growing by 3.93% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 24.39%, a decrease of 2.56 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 13.36%, down 0.63 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the gross margin was 23.63%, a decline of 2.77 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 11.6%, down 1.87 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The company has made significant strides in global production, with the launch of its factory in Thailand marking a new phase in its global strategy. The factory's first shipment occurred in April 2025, demonstrating the company's adaptability to changing global trade environments [5]. Financial Performance Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.761 billion yuan in 2025, 1.949 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.089 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.5%, 10.7%, and 7.2% respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 240 million yuan in 2025, 260 million yuan in 2026, and 284 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 9.1%, 8.4%, and 9.1% respectively [6][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.62 yuan in 2025, 1.76 yuan in 2026, and 1.92 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 31.26, 28.84, and 26.42 [6][9].
恒鑫生活(301501):25Q3业绩稳健,积极布局全球化生产