资产配置日报：市场在等待-20251023

Core Insights - The market is currently in a low volatility state, with both equity and bond markets showing signs of low trading volume and oscillation around key index levels [1][2] - The upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to influence market trends, with historical data suggesting potential positive movements in the A-share market following similar announcements in the past [2][3] - The recent Politburo meeting emphasized stabilizing the market, which may reinforce market expectations and provide a foundation for future growth in technology sectors [3][5] Equity Market Summary - The A-share market saw a slight increase of 0.14% with a trading volume of 1.66 trillion yuan, marking a decrease of 295 billion yuan from the previous day [1] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.72% and 0.48%, respectively, with net inflows from southbound funds amounting to 5.345 billion HKD [1][3] - The current trading volume is at its lowest since August 6, indicating a lack of strong directional signals from market participants [1][2] Bond Market Summary - The bond market exhibited mixed performance, with long-term bond yields experiencing slight increases despite initial declines due to market sentiment [4][5] - The preference for credit products over interest rate bonds is evident, with significant net purchases of credit bonds compared to interest rate bonds in October [4] - The market is closely monitoring the impact of the "15th Five-Year Plan" on bond pricing and investor sentiment [5] Commodity Market Summary - The commodity market is showing signs of recovery, particularly in precious metals, which have stabilized after previous sell-offs [6][7] - Industrial commodities, particularly those related to the "anti-involution" theme, are experiencing strong performance, driven by policy expectations and improving fundamentals [6][8] - Significant capital inflows into industrial products were noted, with a net inflow of over 6.7 billion yuan into commodity indices, while precious metals saw a net outflow of 3.4 billion yuan [6][8] Technology Sector Insights - The recent Politburo meeting highlighted the importance of seizing opportunities in the new technological revolution, which may lead to targeted investments in key sectors such as artificial intelligence and quantum information [3][5] - The upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" is anticipated to clarify future technological directions, potentially benefiting sectors aligned with government priorities [3][5]