冠通期货资讯早间报-20251024

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The global financial and commodity markets are significantly influenced by geopolitical risks, policy changes, and supply - demand dynamics. Geopolitical tensions, especially between the US, EU, and Russia, have led to price fluctuations in the energy and precious metal markets. Meanwhile, in the financial market, A - shares and Hong Kong stocks showed positive trends, and multiple factors are driving the long - term investment value of the Chinese market. 3. Summary by Catalog Overnight Night - market Trends - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 1.91% at $4143.2 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 2.03% at $48.65 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions and US fiscal policy uncertainty [4]. - Crude oil prices soared, with the US oil main contract up 5.56% at $61.75 per barrel and Brent crude up 5.38% at $65.96 per barrel, due to sanctions on Russian oil and a decrease in US EIA crude inventories [4]. - Most London base metals rose, with LME aluminum hitting a new high for the year due to supply concerns from an Icelandic aluminum plant's production cut [6]. Important Information - Macro Information: The EU's sanctions on Chinese enterprises have been opposed by China. The State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the importance of central enterprise planning. The Network Security Law draft addresses AI development, and the ecological environment code draft will be reviewed. The national electricity consumption in the first three quarters reached a record high [8]. - Energy and Chemical Futures: Domestic soda ash production and inventory showed mixed trends. The inventory of float glass samples increased. Urea plant operating rates declined, and inventories rose. Singapore fuel oil inventories decreased, while US natural gas and East China port methanol inventories increased [11][13][15]. - Metal Futures: Goldman Sachs maintains a target price for gold in 2026. Antofagasta's copper and gold production increased in Q3. UBS sees value in silver investment. The global zinc market's supply surplus expanded, and the lead market shifted to a shortage in August [17][19][20]. - Black - series Futures: The utilization rate of coking coal mines decreased. The production of rebar increased, and inventories decreased. Fortescue's iron ore production decreased in Q3. Steel inventories fluctuated, and the production of global and Chinese steel decreased in September [22][25]. - Agricultural Product Futures: Indonesia's B50 biodiesel policy may be postponed. International and domestic palm oil prices declined, and the global soybean supply - demand situation changed [27]. Financial Market - Finance: A - shares and Hong Kong stocks closed higher. Foreign institutions are optimistic about the Chinese stock market and recommend investing in technology and anti - involution fields. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has about 300 pending listing applications, and Neolix completed a large - scale financing [30][31]. - Industry: The application for car trade - in subsidies exceeded 10 million. A high - precision analog computing chip was developed. The scale of the bank wealth - management market increased. Express business volume and revenue grew. Guangzhou expanded the scope of housing vouchers. Samsung and SK Hynix raised memory prices [33][35]. - Overseas: Putin believes US sanctions will not have a major impact on the Russian economy. The US is considering supporting the quantum computing industry. US home sales increased, and South Korea may invest in the US. The central banks of South Korea and Turkey adjusted their interest rates [36][37]. - International Stock Markets: US, European, and Japanese stock markets showed different trends. Some companies such as Intel, United利华, and Volvo released their financial reports [40][41]. - Commodities: Similar to the overnight night - market trends, precious metals, crude oil, and base metals showed price changes [44][45]. - Bonds: The domestic bond market was weak, and the US and South Korean bond markets had new developments. The inclusion criteria for a Chinese bond index were adjusted [47][48][49]. - Foreign Exchange: The RMB's global payment share increased, and exchange rates of major currencies fluctuated [50][52]. Upcoming Indicators and Events - A series of economic indicators will be released, including consumer confidence, CPI, and PMI. Multiple important events such as central bank announcements, press conferences, and corporate listings are scheduled [54][57].