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商业航天行业事件点评:“十五五”重视“航天强国”,商业航天开启第三波浪潮
Minsheng Securities·2025-10-24 08:15

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the commercial aerospace industry, indicating an expected increase in stock prices relative to benchmark indices by over 15% within the next 12 months [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights the emphasis on building a "strong aerospace nation" as part of the 14th Five-Year Plan, with significant developments in satellite deployment and commercial rocket launches [1][2]. - The commercial rocket sector is experiencing a third wave of growth, with several leading companies initiating IPO processes, indicating a clearer development path and revenue models [2]. - The issuance of satellite internet licenses is a critical step towards commercial operations, which will enhance demand across the entire aerospace supply chain [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Developments - The GW constellation has successfully deployed 12 groups of satellites, while the Qianfan constellation has 108 satellites in orbit, reflecting a significant acceleration in domestic satellite launches [1]. - SpaceX has launched over 10,000 Starlink satellites, showcasing the competitive landscape in satellite deployment [1]. Market Dynamics - The commercial rocket industry is witnessing a surge in IPO activities among key players, with a notable focus on liquid rocket technology [2]. - The competitive landscape is evolving, with leading companies like Xinghe Power, Blue Arrow Aerospace, and Tianbing Technology at the forefront, all aiming for their first flights of new reusable rockets by 2025-2026 [2]. Regulatory Environment - The recent meetings by national industrial and information authorities have led to the optimization of satellite communication business access, paving the way for commercial satellite internet operations [3]. - The anticipated issuance of satellite internet licenses is expected to drive the entire industry towards scalable growth, benefiting satellite manufacturing, rocket launches, and ground equipment sectors [3][4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in satellite manufacturing, rocket development, and ground operations, including but not limited to: Shaanxi Huada, New Ray Energy, and Aerospace Electronics [4]. - The advancements in technology and the introduction of reusable rocket systems are projected to significantly reduce launch costs and enhance capacity, creating a robust demand environment [4].