通信行业双周报（2025、10、10-2025、10、23）：主要基础电信运营商前三季度业绩披露-20251024

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [2][46]. Core Viewpoints - The major telecommunications operators in China reported a slight decline in revenue growth for the first three quarters of 2025, but overall net profit continues to show good growth. As the basic market approaches saturation, digital and innovative businesses are becoming new growth engines for operators, with government and enterprise digitalization becoming key pillars of growth. The communication industry is expected to experience a period of technological iteration and policy dividends, with new growth drivers from AI, quantum communication, and low-altitude economy [3][41]. Summary by Sections 1. Communication Industry Market Review - The communication sector index fell by 1.88% over the past two weeks (10/10-10/23), outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.31 percentage points. Year-to-date, the sector has risen by 60.32%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 43.26 percentage points [4][11]. 2. Industry News - The International Telecommunication Union confirmed that the 2027 World Radiocommunication Conference will be held in Shanghai, China [16]. - Omdia predicts that the number of global 5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) users will reach 150 million by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23% [19]. - IDC reported that the AI IaaS market in China grew by 122.4% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, reaching a market size of 19.87 billion yuan [20]. 3. Company Announcements - Yiyuan Communication reported a net profit growth of 105.65% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue of 17.877 billion yuan [24]. - China Telecom's net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 grew by 5%, with total revenue of 394.3 billion yuan [27]. 4. Industry Data Updates - As of August 2025, the mobile phone user base reached approximately 1.819 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.67% [28]. - The total number of 5G base stations reached 4.646 million by August 2025, accounting for 36.3% of all mobile base stations [37]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that align with the themes of "technology commercialization, policy catalysis, and earnings certainty," highlighting companies such as China Mobile, China Telecom, and FiberHome Communication [41][42].