派能科技(688063):2025年三季报点评:Q3销量同比高增,单位盈利进一步提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in sales for Q3, with a 156% growth in sales volume compared to the same quarter last year [8] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 2.01 billion yuan, a 42.5% increase year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 50.5 million yuan, up 28% year-on-year [8] - The report anticipates that the company's sales volume for the entire year could exceed 4 GWh, representing a growth of approximately 170% [8] - The company is expected to recover gradually from impairment and exchange rate impacts, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 adjusted to 1.0 billion, 5.0 billion, and 7.2 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 150%, 384%, and 45% [8] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company's revenue was 860 million yuan, with a gross margin of 21.1% and a net profit margin of 3.9% [8] - The average selling price per watt-hour in Q3 was 0.9 yuan, with a unit profit of approximately 0.03 yuan per watt-hour, indicating a sequential improvement [8] - The company's operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 was 360 million yuan, a decrease of 46.9% year-on-year [8] - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is 3.23 billion yuan, with a projected P/E ratio of 152.22 [1][9]