消费者服务行业双周报(2025/10/10-2025/10/23):前三季度国内居民出游人次同比增长18.0%-20251024
Dongguan Securities·2025-10-24 09:20

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" investment rating for the consumer services industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [29]. Core Insights - In the first three quarters of 2025, domestic residents' travel increased by 18.0% year-on-year, with travel expenditures rising by 11.5%. Despite significant growth in overall travel, the per capita consumption growth is lagging [18][29]. - The report suggests focusing on stable sectors such as scenic spots and dining, while also highlighting the need for differentiation and high-end strategies in the hotel sector due to competitive pressures [29]. - The report indicates that 37 companies in the industry achieved positive returns, with the top five performers being Dalian Shengya, Changbai Mountain, China High-Tech, Fangzhi Technology, and ST Dongshi, showing increases of 48.16%, 19.93%, 19.07%, 18.11%, and 11.93% respectively [12][29]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The CITIC consumer services industry index rose by 1.12% from October 10 to October 23, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 3.31 percentage points [7]. - The tourism and hotel sectors showed signs of recovery after previous declines, with the tourism leisure sector increasing by 1.77% and hotel dining by 1.89% during the same period [8][12]. Industry News - In the first three quarters of 2025, domestic travel reached 4.998 billion trips, an increase of 761 million trips compared to the previous year [18]. - The adjustment of the Hainan duty-free policy includes an expansion of duty-free categories and allows island residents to purchase duty-free items [20]. - The hotel industry continues to experience structural recovery, with 299 new hotels opening in September 2025, although asset liquidity remains under pressure [23]. Company Announcements - Notable companies to watch include Jinjiang Hotels, Changbai Mountain, Emei Mountain A, and Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism, which are expected to benefit from the recovery in leisure travel [30]. - The report also highlights the potential benefits for the education and human resources service sectors due to anticipated policy support [29].