Shannon Semi(SZ:300475) Guotou Securities·2025-10-25 12:46Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 156.2 CNY, maintaining the rating [6][10]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in Q3 performance, with a revenue increase of 6.58% year-on-year and a substantial net profit growth of 42.81% quarter-on-quarter, driven by the upturn in the storage market [2][3]. - The company has established a dual-driven development model of "distribution + self-research," enhancing its competitive edge in the storage industry [3][10]. - Future revenue projections indicate a growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 362.20 billion CNY, 420.69 billion CNY, and 484.58 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 26.4 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 59.90%, and a net profit of 359 million CNY, a slight decrease of 1.36% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025 alone, the company reported a revenue of 9.276 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 6.58% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.64%, with a net profit of 202 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.11% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42.81% [1][2]. Market Dynamics - The storage market is experiencing an upturn, with expected price increases in DRAM and NAND products due to supply shortages and increased demand from data centers driven by AI applications [2][3]. - The company benefits from a robust distribution network and has successfully launched its own brand products, enhancing its market position [3]. Strategic Developments - The establishment of a joint venture with Wuxi Lingjing Cloud aims to strengthen the company's "distribution + self-research" strategy, facilitating deeper industry collaboration and expanding sales channels [3][10]. - The company has completed the R&D and trial production of enterprise-level DDR4, DDR5, and Gen4e SSDs, marking a significant step towards mass production [3].