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金风科技(002202):2025年三季报点评:前三季度业绩同比增长44%,国际业务稳步推进
Guoxin Securities·2025-10-25 14:23

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][33][38] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 48.15 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 34%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.58 billion yuan, up 44% year-on-year [8][33] - The company has a strong order backlog, with external orders reaching 49.9 GW, a 21% increase year-on-year, indicating robust demand for its wind turbines [2][19] - The international business is expanding, with operations in 47 countries across six continents and a total installed capacity of 11.2 GW outside of China [2][27] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 19.61 billion yuan, a 25% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.1 billion yuan, which is a significant increase of 171% year-on-year [8][9] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 14.4%, down 2.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 5.9%, up 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [8][9] Sales and Orders - The company sold 7.8 GW of wind turbines in Q3 2025, a 71% increase year-on-year, with a total sales volume of 18.4 GW for the first three quarters, up 90% year-on-year [2][17] - The company added 23.2 GW of new external orders in the first three quarters, a 9% increase year-on-year, with a total backlog of 52.5 GW, including internal orders [19][27] International Expansion - The company is actively pursuing an internationalization strategy, with a 91% year-on-year increase in new installation capacity in international markets, totaling 2.4 GW in the first three quarters [2][27] - The installed capacity in Asia (excluding China) surpassed 3 GW, while South America and Oceania each exceeded 2 GW [2][27] Profitability Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards to 2.98 billion yuan, 3.68 billion yuan, and 4.96 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 60.4%, 23.4%, and 34.8% [33][34] - The current stock price corresponds to dynamic P/E ratios of 22.4, 18.2, and 13.5 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [33][34]