Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-26 05:47Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [21]. Core Insights - The construction and decoration sector has shown a weekly increase of 2.91%, with the infrastructure private enterprises leading the performance at +7.55% [3][4]. - The report highlights that the GDP for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 5.2%, while fixed asset investment decreased by 0.5% year-on-year [10][12]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes expanding high-level opening-up and optimizing regional economic layout, which is expected to provide significant elasticity to regional investments [10][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The construction sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 2.91% [4]. - The best-performing sub-sectors for the week were infrastructure private enterprises (+7.55%), decorative curtain walls (+7.00%), and infrastructure state-owned enterprises (+4.78%) [6][9]. 2. Industry Changes - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a year-on-year GDP growth of 5.2% for the first three quarters of 2025, with fixed asset investment down by 0.5% [10][12]. - Infrastructure investment (including all categories) grew by 3.3%, while real estate investment saw a significant decline of 13.9% [10][12]. 3. Key Company Updates - Jianfa Hecheng reported a revenue increase of 10.55% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 21.2% for the first three quarters of 2025 [12][14]. - Zhongyan Dadi won a procurement project worth 77.98 million yuan, accounting for 9.77% of its 2024 revenue [12][14]. - Anhui Construction won a project for the Yangzhou to Huainan expressway with a total value of 620 million yuan, representing 0.64% of its 2024 revenue [13][14]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends state-owned enterprises such as China Chemical, China Railway, and China Railway Construction due to their low valuations [3][12]. - It also suggests focusing on private enterprises like Zhizhi New Materials and Honglu Steel Structure, as well as international engineering firms like China Steel International and China Materials International [3][12].