财信证券宏观策略周报（10.27-10.31）：市场震荡走强，关注滞涨科技方向-20251026

Group 1 - The market is experiencing a new upward trend after a period of consolidation, with improved chip structure and reduced leverage risks in high-tech stocks [4][7][8] - The GDP growth for the first three quarters of 2025 is projected at 5.2%, indicating a weak recovery in the economy, which is beneficial for market risk appetite [4][7][9] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes high-quality development and technological self-reliance, suggesting that technology will remain a key market focus for the next five years [4][8][9] Group 2 - Short-term investment strategies should focus on sectors experiencing stagnation, such as AI applications, consumer electronics, humanoid robots, semiconductor equipment, and Hang Seng Technology [4][14] - Attention should also be given to overseas technology supply chains, including those related to Nvidia, Apple, and Tesla, especially if the US-China trade negotiations progress positively [4][14] - New consumption trends, particularly in health, cultural tourism, sports, beauty care, IP economy, and pet economy, are expected to gain traction [4][14] Group 3 - The A-share market showed significant gains last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 2.88% to close at 3950.31 points, indicating a strong performance in technology sectors [15][16] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 17794.95 billion, reflecting a decrease of 18.17% from the previous week [15] - The market is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by favorable macroeconomic conditions and positive developments in US-China trade relations [12][13]