光的新节奏
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-10-26 11:28

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the optical communication sector, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication [11]. Core Insights - The optical communication industry is entering a new phase driven by substantial demand for AI computing power, leading to an earlier-than-expected market recovery [1][24]. - The industry is transitioning into an era of "delivery assurance," where delivery capability becomes the core competitive advantage, replacing the previous focus on order acquisition [3][28]. - The report highlights the structural shortage of upstream core chips and key materials, which is impacting the delivery of optical modules [27][29]. Summary by Sections Market Recovery - The optical communication market is showing signs of early recovery due to continuous additional orders from overseas manufacturers [2][25]. - The demand for computing power is expected to grow, with significant order clarity for 2026 and 2027 [27]. Industry Trends - The industry is shifting from a "competing for orders" model to a "delivery assurance" model by 2026, emphasizing the importance of delivery capabilities [3][28]. - The report notes that leading companies will leverage their supply chain management and scale advantages to thrive in this new environment [7][28]. Challenges - The production of optical modules faces challenges due to the complexity of the manufacturing process and the long lead times from order to delivery [29]. - There is a structural shortage of optical chips and devices, which is exacerbating supply chain issues [27][29]. Key Companies to Watch - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the optical module sector such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng, as well as other key players in the optical device market [8][28].