Soochow Securities·2025-10-26 11:19Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-bank financial sector [1] Core Views - The insurance and brokerage stocks are expected to see valuation recovery driven by high earnings growth [1] - The non-bank financial sector has shown a mixed performance, with insurance leading in growth, followed by diversified finance and securities [8][9] Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Subsector Performance - In the recent five trading days (October 20-24, 2025), all non-bank financial subsectors underperformed the CSI 300 index, with insurance up by 2.99%, diversified finance by 2.70%, and securities by 2.02% [8] - Year-to-date performance shows insurance leading with a 14.47% increase, followed by diversified finance at 12.38%, and brokerage at 7.73% [9] Non-Bank Financial Subsector Insights Securities - Trading volume has increased year-on-year, with October's average daily stock trading volume at CNY 25,070 billion, up 12.07% from last year [13] - Margin financing balance reached CNY 24,510 billion, a year-on-year increase of 47.76% [13] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities industry is projected at 1.3x for 2025 [23] Insurance - Major insurers like China Life and New China Life are expected to report significant profit increases for Q3, with China Life's net profit projected between CNY 156.8 billion and CNY 177.7 billion, reflecting a 50%-70% year-on-year growth [25] - The insurance sector is benefiting from regulatory support for high-quality health insurance development [31] Diversified Finance - The trust industry is experiencing a stable transition, with total trust assets expected to reach CNY 29.56 trillion by the end of 2024, a 23.58% year-on-year increase [34] - The futures market saw a trading volume of 770 million contracts in September, with a transaction value of CNY 71.50 trillion, reflecting a 33.16% year-on-year growth [38] Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The non-bank financial sector is currently undervalued, presenting a safety margin for investors [34] - The recommended ranking for investment is insurance > securities > diversified finance, with key companies including China Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, and Tonghuashun [34]