国际时政周评：中美会谈及特朗普亚洲之行

Economic Developments - The fifth round of China-US trade talks reached a preliminary consensus, with discussions covering various topics including export controls and tariff extensions[8] - The Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 2.3%, the Nikkei Index increased by 3.6%, and the Korean Composite Index surged by 5.1% in response to positive market expectations[8] Geopolitical Factors - The US and EU imposed new sanctions on Russian oil, leading to a 5.8% increase in Brent crude oil prices, while the Russian RTS index fell by 6.5%[13] - Ongoing challenges in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations include territorial sovereignty, post-war guarantees for Ukraine, and ceasefire timelines, with significant differences remaining between the parties[16] Future Outlook - Attention is focused on upcoming China-US trade talks and high-level interactions, as well as the implications of US domestic politics on government operations and tariffs[18] - The US Supreme Court is set to review the legality of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which could impact future trade policies[18] Risks - Potential unexpected changes in US policies and international relations could significantly affect market dynamics[5] - The ongoing geopolitical conflicts, particularly in the Middle East and Latin America, may introduce further uncertainties into the global economic landscape[20][21]