房地产行业周报:二手房成交面积环比增长,推动房地产高质量发展-20251026
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-10-26 13:44

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The increase in second-hand housing transaction area month-on-month is driving high-quality development in the real estate sector. The overall real estate market in China is moving towards stabilization, with potential for slight fluctuations in housing prices during this process. The report anticipates further stabilization of the real estate market under the influence of various supportive policies [5][64]. Summary by Sections 1. Policy Initiatives - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session emphasizes promoting high-quality employment, improving income distribution, and advancing high-quality development in real estate [6][14]. 2. Sales Performance - In the 43rd week of 2025, the transaction area of new residential properties in 68 major cities decreased by 29% year-on-year and 5% month-on-month, totaling 250 million square meters. Cumulatively, the transaction area from the beginning of the year to date is 96.9 million square meters, down 12% year-on-year. Conversely, the transaction area of second-hand homes in 20 cities was 202 million square meters, with a year-on-year decline of 16% [7][19][37]. 3. Investment Trends - In the 43rd week of 2025, the planned land area launched in 100 major cities was 27.05 million square meters, with a transaction area of 20.16 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 20%. The transaction premium rate was 2%, with first-tier cities seeing a 215% increase in land area transactions [42][46]. 4. Financing Developments - The issuance of domestic credit bonds reached 15.66 billion yuan in the 43rd week of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 192% and a month-on-month increase of 125%. The cumulative issuance of credit bonds is 337.5 billion yuan, up 4% year-on-year [52][56]. 5. Market Performance - The real estate index rose by 1.51% during the week of October 20-24, 2025, underperforming compared to the CSI 300 index, which increased by 3.24%. The report highlights the performance of individual stocks within the real estate sector, noting significant gains for certain companies [57][62].