“十五五”规划公报强调经济高质量发展,四季度基建或受益增量资金和政策催化
Tianfeng Securities·2025-10-26 14:15

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [5] Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes high-quality economic development, with a focus on technological innovation and new productive forces as the main development line [13][14] - Expectations for infrastructure stimulus in Q4 are rising, with the construction sector likely to benefit from incremental funds and policy catalysts [18][31] Summary by Sections 1. "14th Five-Year Plan" and Infrastructure Stimulus - The "14th Five-Year Plan" highlights the importance of high-quality development, emphasizing the need for a strong real economy and technological innovation [13][14] - Q4 infrastructure stimulus expectations are increasing, with significant issuance of special bonds and government bonds, totaling 3.68 trillion yuan in special bonds issued by September 2025, accounting for 83.6% of the annual quota [18][23] 2. Market Review - The construction index rose by 2.87% during the week of October 20-24, underperforming the broader market by 0.54 percentage points [25] - Notable stock performances included Huylv Ecological (+33%), China Nuclear Engineering (+23%), and Shikong Technology (+21%) [25] 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on infrastructure investment opportunities in high-growth regions such as Xinjiang and Tibet, and consider companies involved in water conservancy, railways, and aviation projects [31] - Emphasize the nuclear power sector, recommending companies like China Nuclear Engineering and Libat, which are positioned well in the nuclear construction chain [33][15] - Highlight the importance of emerging business directions, including cleanroom technology and AI-driven computing infrastructure, suggesting companies like Boche and Shenghui Integration [33]