期货技术分析周报:2025年第44周-20251026
Dong Zheng Qi Huo·2025-10-26 14:46
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry - wide investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The market shows significant differentiation across various sectors. The non - ferrous and precious metals sector has a mixed situation, with precious metals showing callback risks and some non - ferrous metals having bullish signals. The black and shipping sector has some products with bearish signals and others in a volatile state. The energy and chemical sector is generally strong, but also has internal differentiation. The agricultural products sector is also divided, with some products bullish, some volatile, and some bearish [1][2][3][4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1. Non - ferrous and Precious Metals Sector - Technical Indicator Signal Summary: Precious metals like gold and silver show callback risks, while non - ferrous metals such as cast aluminum alloy, copper, nickel, and stainless steel show bullish signals. Most other non - ferrous metals are in a volatile state. Lithium carbonate LC2601 has been rising this week, with support from the MA60 moving average, but some indicators are overbought [9][10][11]. - Weekly Pivot Analysis: The non - ferrous metals sector is generally strong, with prices of some bullish products approaching the resistance level R1, and attention should be paid to R2 and R3. Precious metals like gold and silver have a callback trend, and attention should be paid to the support at S1 and S2 [16]. 3.2. Black and Shipping Sector - Technical Indicator Signal Summary: Rebar and iron ore show bearish signals, the European line shows a bearish signal, shipping is mainly in a volatile state, and other products are also volatile [18][19]. - Weekly Pivot Analysis: Iron ore is bearish, with prices approaching the key support levels S1 and S2. If there is heavy - volume decline, it may fall to S3. Most other products such as hot - rolled coils, wires, and coking coal are in a volatile state, and the European line shipping is also volatile with intense long - short competition [25]. 3.3. Energy and Chemical Sector - Technical Indicator Signal Summary: Energy products such as crude oil, fuel oil, asphalt, and LPG show bullish signals, and low - sulfur fuel oil shows a volatile signal. Chemical products such as PTA, p - xylene, etc. show bullish signals, while methanol, PVC, etc. show bearish signals, and most other products are volatile [29][30][31]. - Weekly Pivot Analysis: The energy sector is strong, with prices of some products breaking through the pivot point and approaching R1, and the upside space can reach R2. The chemical sector is internally differentiated, with some products bullish and some bearish, and overall, attention should be paid to price fluctuations around the pivot point [35]. 3.4. Agricultural Products Sector - Technical Indicator Signal Summary: Soybean No. 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, cotton yarn, and eggs show bullish signals, rapeseed meal, peanuts, and red dates show bearish signals, and most other products are volatile. Soybean meal M2601 rose slightly this week, and if it breaks through the MA60 moving average with heavy volume, there may be a rebound trend [40][42][45]. - Weekly Pivot Analysis: Products with bullish ratings are above the pivot point and testing the R1 resistance. Most other products are in a volatile pattern, and rapeseed meal, peanuts, and red dates are under pressure below the pivot point and testing the S1 support [48].