海外宏观周报：美国9月CPI低于预期-20251027

Economic Indicators - The U.S. September CPI increased by 3% year-on-year, lower than the expected 3.1%[3] - Core CPI for September showed a month-on-month increase of 0.2%, also below market expectations[3] - The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a five-month low of 53.6, down from 55.1 in September[3] Market Performance - As of October 24, U.S. stock indices, including the S&P 500, rose by 1.9%, while European STOXX600 increased by 1.7%[16] - Japanese stocks surged following the election of Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, with the Nikkei 225 index rising by 3.6%[16] - Gold prices experienced their largest single-day drop in five years, reflecting reduced safe-haven demand[14] Global Economic Trends - Eurozone manufacturing PMI rose to 50, while services PMI increased to 52.6, marking a 14-month high[3] - The UK September CPI remained flat at 3.8%, below the expected 4%, with core CPI slowing to 3.5%[3] - Japan's core CPI rose by 2.9% year-on-year, indicating a potential for interest rate hikes in the near future[12] Commodity and Currency Movements - Oil prices rebounded, with Brent and WTI crude oil increasing by 7.6% and 6.9%, respectively[21] - The U.S. dollar index rose by 0.39%, while the Japanese yen and British pound depreciated against the dollar[24]