SACL(SZ:000089) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-27 02:50Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Shenzhen Airport [6][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.84 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 468 million yuan, up 43% year-on-year [3]. - The growth in profitability is attributed to the ongoing recovery in operations from 2024, with a notable low base effect in the first half of the year. However, the growth rate in Q3 2025 has moderated compared to previous quarters [3]. - The company is prioritizing international routes as domestic passenger growth slows, with Q3 2025 showing a 3.1% increase in passenger throughput compared to the same period in 2019 [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.31 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%, and a net profit of 156 million yuan, up 2.2% year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 142 million yuan, reflecting a 12.3% increase [3]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 21.8%, showing a slight decline compared to previous periods, with total revenue and operating costs increasing by 8.0% and 10.0% respectively [5]. - Investment income significantly increased, with Q3 2025 reporting 54 million yuan, compared to 37 million yuan and 32 million yuan in Q2 and Q3 of 2024 respectively [5]. Operational Developments - The third runway expansion project was completed in August 2025, paving the way for future operational enhancements. The T2 terminal area and supporting projects have also commenced construction [5]. - The company is expected to benefit from the opening of the Shenzhen-Zhongshan Corridor and the Shenzhen-Jiangmen Railway, enhancing its position as a hub in the Greater Bay Area [6]. Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is adjusted to 640 million yuan for 2025 and 785 million yuan for 2026, with corresponding PE ratios of 23 and 19 [7][12].