可转债周报:缩量反弹中,转债ETF资金开始回流-20251027
Dong Fang Jin Cheng·2025-10-27 03:04

Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints - The convertible bond market is expected to follow the equity market and strengthen in an oscillatory manner, but due to increased market volatility and the continuation of the high - price characteristic of convertible bonds, attention should be paid to the defensive attributes of the portfolio and tail risks should be avoided. Layout can be made along the performance clues. The cost - effectiveness of new convertible bond subscriptions or indirect allocation through convertible bond ETFs remains relatively high [3][9]. Summary by Directory Policy Tracking - On October 22, the China Society of Automotive Engineers released the "Energy - Saving and New - Energy Vehicle Technology Roadmap 3.0", which clarifies that global automotive technology will evolve towards low - carbon, electrification, and intelligence. China's automotive industry carbon emissions will peak around 2028 and decline by over 60% by 2040 compared to the peak. By 2040, the market penetration rate of new - energy vehicles needs to exceed 80%, and the intelligent connected infrastructure system integrating vehicles, roads, and clouds will be fully mature [4]. Secondary Market - Equity Market: Last week, major equity market indices collectively strengthened. The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rose 2.88%, 4.73%, and 8.05% respectively. After the release of the Fourth Plenary Session communique, market sentiment was significantly boosted, and the trading volume on Friday quickly recovered to nearly 2 trillion yuan [5][6]. - Convertible Bond Market: The main convertible bond market indices collectively rose, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index, Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond Index, and Shenzhen Stock Exchange Convertible Bond Index rising 1.47%, 1.56%, and 1.40% respectively. The average daily trading volume was 600.23 billion yuan, a further reduction of 109.27 billion yuan from the previous week. Convertible bond ETFs ended the net redemption trend and had a net subscription of 30.82 billion yuan, supporting the strength of convertible bonds. The small - cap and high - price style in the convertible bond market strengthened again, and most convertible bonds in various industries rose. The valuation of most industries decreased, but the valuation of the light - manufacturing industry rose [7][8][9]. Primary Market - Issuance and Listing: Last week, there was no new convertible bond issuance, and Yingliu Convertible Bond was listed. Six convertible bonds were redeemed early and delisted. As of last Friday, the convertible bond market's outstanding scale was 580.96 billion yuan, a decrease of 152.933 billion yuan from the beginning of the year. Five convertible bonds were approved by the CSRC to be issued, totaling 4 billion yuan, and six convertible bonds passed the review committee, totaling 3.581 billion yuan [3]. - Conversion and Redemption: Eight convertible bonds had a conversion ratio of over 5%. Some convertible bonds announced early redemption, and some announced that they were about to trigger early redemption conditions or the conditions for conversion price downward adjustment [30][31][33].