医药行业边际改善,布局Q3业绩超预期与高景气方向
Xinda Securities·2025-10-27 03:27

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical industry is "Positive" [2] Core Views - The pharmaceutical industry is showing signs of marginal improvement, with Q3 performance expected to exceed expectations in high-growth areas [4][14] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong Q3 performance, particularly in the CXO and life sciences upstream supply chain, medical device recovery, and innovative drugs [4][14] Summary by Sections Q3 Performance Highlights - Q3 performance is expected to be outstanding or exceed expectations, with recommendations to focus on companies such as Baipusais, Haoyuan Pharmaceutical, and Bid Pharmaceutical in the upstream research chain [4][14] - Medical devices are stabilizing or reversing in Q3, with suggested companies including Kefu Medical, Haitai New Light, and Maipu Medical [4][14] - Some traditional Chinese medicine companies are beginning to stabilize and are expected to benefit from the basic drug catalog catalyst, with recommendations for companies like Fangsheng Pharmaceutical and Kang Enbei [4][14] - API companies are stabilizing at the bottom, with CDMO business growth accelerating, recommending companies like Puluo Pharmaceutical and Tonghe Pharmaceutical [4][14] - The upstream pharmaceutical equipment is starting to stabilize, with recommendations for companies such as Sensong International and Chutian Technology [4][14] CXO and Life Sciences Upstream Supply Chain - Recommendations for globally influential CXO leading companies include WuXi AppTec, WuXi Biologics, and Kanglong Chemical [4][18] - For domestic clinical CRO leaders, companies like Tigermed and Pruvis are suggested [4][18] - Resource-based CXOs represented by safety evaluation and model animals include Zhaoyan New Drug and MediWest [4][18] - In the life sciences upstream supply chain, companies such as Baipusais and Haoyuan Pharmaceutical are recommended [4][18] High-end Medical Devices - The recovery of in-hospital procurement is driving business growth, with recommendations for companies like United Imaging and Kailing Medical [4][6][18] - The demand for consumer medical devices is gradually recovering, with suggested companies including Kefu Medical and Sanofi [4][6][18] - Companies benefiting from overseas orders recovery include Meihua Medical and Haitai New Light [4][6][18] - The market penetration rate of high-end medical device consumables continues to rise, with recommendations for companies like Maipu Medical and Xinhu Medical [4][6][18] Innovative Drugs - Focus on companies with scientific breakthroughs and forward-looking market space, including Innovent Biologics, Hengrui Medicine, and Junshi Biosciences [4][6][18] Market Performance - The pharmaceutical sector's return was 0.58% last week, ranking 25th among 31 first-level sub-industry indices [5][15] - The pharmaceutical industry index's current PE (TTM) is 30.35 times, which is relatively low compared to its historical average [19][24]

医药行业边际改善,布局Q3业绩超预期与高景气方向 - Reportify