国防军工：军工本周观点：关注四中新方向-20251027

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [57]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of national security and the goals set for the military by the 20th Central Committee, highlighting the need for modernization in defense and military capabilities [41][42]. - The report identifies significant growth opportunities in emerging industries such as aerospace, new energy, and low-altitude economy, which are expected to drive economic growth over the next decade [41][42]. - The military industry is anticipated to experience strong demand recovery from 2025 to 2026, supported by various catalysts including the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the "100-Year Military Goal" [42]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance Review - The military industry index (801740) increased by 2.81% from October 20 to October 24, while the CSI 300 index rose by 3.24%, resulting in an underperformance of 0.43 percentage points [15][17]. - Since the beginning of 2025, the military index has risen by 16.47%, compared to an 18.44% increase in the CSI 300 index, indicating a relative underperformance of 1.98 percentage points [17]. 2. Market and Valuation - As of October 24, the military industry index has a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 74.63, placing it in the 96.86 percentile, suggesting a high valuation relative to historical levels [42][27]. - The report notes a slight net outflow of passive funds, with expectations of a recovery in demand leading to a positive outlook for future fund inflows [42][27]. 3. Key Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on specific companies within various segments of the military industry, including land equipment, stealth materials, deep-sea technology, engines, unmanned systems, AI, and nuclear fusion [44]. - Notable companies to watch include Tianqin Equipment, Gaode Infrared, and Aerospace Technology among others [44]. 4. Important News and Announcements - The report highlights recent successful launches in the aerospace sector, including the successful deployment of satellites by the Li Jian No. 1 rocket [45]. - It also discusses advancements in nuclear fusion technology and the establishment of new policies to support the low-altitude economy [46][49].