Soochow Securities·2025-10-27 06:33Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Huaxin Cement (600801) [1] Core Views - The company has shown accelerated overseas growth momentum, with significant contributions from its Nigerian and Brazilian operations [7] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a year-on-year revenue increase of 6.0%, driven by rising overseas cement prices and the consolidation of new acquisitions [7] - The gross profit margin improved to 30.5%, up 5.8 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from higher-margin overseas sales [7] - The company is expected to continue its strong performance in the fourth quarter, supported by the contributions from its Nigerian plant [7] - The report projects an increase in net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, reflecting the company's robust international expansion strategy [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 33,757 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.79% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 2,762 million yuan in 2023, reflecting a growth of 2.34% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 1.33 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.55 [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to grow to 69,513 million yuan by 2024, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 53.22% [6][8] - Operating cash flow for 2024 is expected to be 5,977 million yuan, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [8]