Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3]. Core Insights - The company's performance has been impacted by a significant increase in income tax, but its fundamental business remains solid with substantial growth potential [1]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.933 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.20%, and a net profit of 652 million yuan, up 9.27% year-on-year [7]. - The company is expected to see continued growth in its key segments, including metal resources, life sciences, and water treatment, with significant investments planned to enhance its capabilities in these areas [7]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecast: Projected revenues for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.554 billion yuan, 2.820 billion yuan, 3.366 billion yuan, and 3.727 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 262.02%, 10.41%, 19.38%, and 10.72% [2]. - Net Profit Forecast: Expected net profits for the same years are 787 million yuan, 919 million yuan, 1.102 billion yuan, and 1.335 billion yuan, with growth rates of 979.14%, 16.70%, 20.00%, and 21.06% [2]. - Profitability Metrics: The gross margin is projected to be 49.47% in 2024, increasing to 50.05% in 2025, before declining slightly in subsequent years [2]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): The diluted EPS is forecasted to be 1.55 yuan in 2024, increasing to 2.63 yuan by 2027 [2]. Cash Flow and Debt Management - The company reported a significant increase in cash flow, with a net cash flow of 539 million yuan at the end of the reporting period, marking a 20.50% year-on-year growth [7]. - The asset-liability ratio stands at 34.50%, a decrease of 0.90 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a stable financial position with low debt risk [7].
蓝晓科技(300487):所得税大增拖累业绩,基本盘稳固潜力大
