Hanbell(SZ:002158) Soochow Securities·2025-10-27 12:50Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, but there is optimism regarding growth driven by semiconductor vacuum pumps and data center demand [1][7] - The company has experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit due to the downturn in the photovoltaic industry, but the AI refrigeration compressor business is seeing growth [7] - The semiconductor vacuum pump market is expected to grow as domestic manufacturers increase their market share, with the company already entering the mass delivery phase [7] - The data center construction sector is experiencing high demand, and the company has a comprehensive product line to meet the cooling needs of data centers [7] Financial Summary - For 2023, the total revenue is projected at 3,852 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.96%. However, a decline is expected in 2024 and 2025, with revenues of 3,674 million and 3,171 million yuan respectively [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 865.03 million yuan in 2023, with a significant drop to 625.26 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 27.51% [1][8] - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 is reported at 34.9%, down 5.8 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company has maintained high R&D investment, with R&D expenses increasing by 11.3% year-on-year to 138 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [7] Market Position and Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading domestic manufacturer in the semiconductor vacuum pump market, with completed product series and certifications that cater to critical manufacturing processes [7] - The company has received significant orders for screw compressors for data centers, indicating strong future revenue potential [7] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 6.3 billion, 7.1 billion, and 8.4 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22, 20, and 17 times [7][8]