CMS·2025-10-27 13:34Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Insights - The company achieved a steady revenue growth of 794.7 billion yuan in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 0.4%. The service revenue was 683.1 billion yuan, up 0.8% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 115.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 4.0% increase year-on-year [1][5]. - The company is experiencing robust growth in AI-related revenues, with significant contributions from its personal, family, and government-enterprise markets. The total mobile customer base reached 1.009 billion, with 622 million 5G customers, indicating a steady increase in 5G penetration [5][6]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including a 78.08% stake in Hong Kong Broadband, enhancing its international presence and synergy between mobile and fixed-line services [5]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a net operating cash inflow of 161 billion yuan, with a decrease of 28.1% year-on-year, but the decline is narrowing, leading to a recovery in free cash flow to 3.9 billion yuan [5][21]. - The company’s EBITDA for Q3 2025 was 265.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.9%, indicating stable operational performance [1][5]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 145.3 billion yuan, 152.1 billion yuan, and 158.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15.9, 15.2, and 14.6 [5][6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on refined operations and lean management, which has led to sustained profitability despite increased R&D investments of 10.04 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a 20.6% increase year-on-year [5][6]. - The report highlights the company's efforts in enhancing its platform-based operational system and deepening customer engagement in the government-enterprise sector, contributing to the overall market value [5][6]. - The company’s debt ratio stands at 34.0%, indicating a stable financial structure [2][24].