HUAXI Securities·2025-10-27 15:37Market Performance - On October 27, the equity market experienced a significant increase, with the Wind All A Index rising by 1.19% and a total trading volume of 2.36 trillion yuan, an increase of 365 billion yuan compared to the previous Friday [2] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 1.05% and 1.83% respectively, with net inflows of southbound funds amounting to 2.873 billion HKD, primarily into SMIC and Tencent [2] - The market rally was driven by three main factors: the continued impact of the Fourth Plenary Session, a thaw in US-China relations, and breakthroughs in the photolithography sector [2] Index Recovery - The recovery in late October exhibited a standard "dumbbell" structure, with major indices like the Shanghai 50 and Wind Micro Index showing significant breakthroughs compared to the October 9 closing prices, increasing by 1.62% and 5.33% respectively [3] - In contrast, small-cap indices such as the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 lagged behind, remaining at least 2% below their previous highs [3] - Key sectors leading the recovery included communication equipment and components, which rose by 8.70% and 7.04% respectively, indicating that AI computing power is a primary focus of this recovery [3] Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong market continued to rise, supported by improved risk appetite due to the easing of US-China tensions and a stable US dollar [4] - The Nasdaq index also saw a rise of 1.15%, influenced by upcoming earnings reports from major US tech companies [4] - The bond market began a downward trend, with the People's Bank of China announcing the resumption of government bond trading, leading to a decline in yields for medium to long-term bonds [4][6] Commodity Market Trends - In the domestic commodity market, "anti-involution" products continued to lead, with polysilicon and lithium carbonate rising by 3.82% and 2.53% respectively [7] - The non-ferrous metals sector performed strongly, with copper prices reaching a yearly high, while precious metals like gold and silver faced downward pressure [7] - Overall, the commodity market recorded a net inflow of nearly 6 billion yuan, with significant investments in non-ferrous metals and new energy sectors [7] Future Outlook - The market's performance is seen as a result of the interplay between "TACO" trading and "anti-involution" themes, with future trends dependent on the sustainability of US-China relations and the impact of policies on supply-demand dynamics in the "anti-involution" sectors [9]