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国信证券晨会纪要-20251028
Guoxin Securities·2025-10-28 01:14

Macro and Strategy - The public REITs index has rebounded, with a weekly increase of 0.2%, and the average weekly change for property and operating rights REITs was +0.1% and +0.7% respectively [9][10] - The total market value of REITs increased to 218.8 billion yuan, with an average daily turnover rate of 0.52%, up 0.13 percentage points from the previous week [10][11] Chemical Industry - The 2026 refrigerant quota distribution plan has been released, with a reduction of 3,000 tons for R22 production quotas and a complete elimination of R141b quotas [14][15] - The flexibility of the third-generation refrigerant quotas has been enhanced, allowing for two adjustments per year, with a total not exceeding 30% of the quota amount [14][15] - The chemical industry is expected to maintain a favorable outlook for refrigerants, particularly R32 and R134a, due to tightening quota constraints [15] Mechanical Industry - Tesla plans to launch the Optimus V3 robot in Q1 2026, with a production capacity target of 1 million units by the end of next year [16][17] - The humanoid robot industry is anticipated to enter a large-scale production phase, benefiting both the complete machine and component supply chains [17][18] Oilfield Services - The company is a leading global oilfield service provider, with a focus on offshore oil and gas exploration and production [28][29] - The company is expected to benefit from China's offshore oil and gas development, with a projected capital expenditure of 135 billion yuan in 2025 [29][30] - The drilling platform utilization rate is high, and daily fees are expected to rise due to a decrease in retired platforms [29][30] Chemical Manufacturing - WanHua Chemical reported a revenue of 53.32 billion yuan in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 5.5% and a net profit of 3.03 billion yuan [31][32] - The polyurethane segment is experiencing a mixed demand, with a planned capacity expansion of 700,000 tons for MDI by Q2 2026 [32][33] - The petrochemical segment is under pressure from price declines, but revenue is expected to grow due to increased production capacity [33] Agricultural Solutions - Guoguang Co. reported a revenue of 1.523 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 6.09% [35][36] - The company is focusing on promoting comprehensive crop management solutions, with a significant increase in R&D investment [35][36] - The company plans to maintain a high dividend payout ratio, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [36][37] Dental Care - Dengkang Dental achieved a revenue of 1.228 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 16.66% [38] - The company is adjusting its online marketing strategy, which has led to a temporary slowdown in growth [38]