Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [9]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic lead-acid battery industry, with a growing focus on low-voltage lithium batteries and international markets. The rapid growth of the low-voltage lithium battery business and the ongoing expansion into overseas markets present significant growth opportunities [6][8]. - The company reported steady revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 8.9%, but faced a significant decline in net profit, down 49.8% year-on-year, primarily due to high base effects from foreign exchange gains in the previous year and increased competition in the recycled lead industry [6][8]. - The company’s low-voltage lithium battery business is entering a high-growth phase, with substantial project additions and partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, which will support future revenue growth [6][8]. Financial Summary - For 2023A, the company achieved a revenue of 14,079 million yuan, with a projected growth rate of 5% year-on-year. By 2025E, revenue is expected to reach 17,933 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 15% [2]. - The net profit for 2023A was 572 million yuan, with a significant projected increase to 934 million yuan by 2025E, indicating a growth rate of 52% [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow from 0.49 yuan in 2023A to 0.80 yuan in 2025E [2]. Market Position - The company maintains a strong position in the low-voltage lead-acid battery market, with a continuous increase in the proportion of high-value-added products like AGM batteries [6]. - The overseas business has shown a revenue increase of 21.3% year-on-year, indicating successful market penetration in Europe [6].
骆驼股份(601311):25Q3营收稳步增长,利润短期承压