HUA XIA BANK(SH:600015) Guohai Securities·2025-10-28 06:39Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 net profit shows a year-on-year increase of 7.62%, indicating a recovery in profitability and improved asset quality [4] - The company has optimized its cost and risk management, leading to a decrease in the cost-to-income ratio to 29.95%, down 0.21 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.58%, reflecting a positive trend in asset quality [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first nine months of 2025, the company reported revenue of 648.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.79%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 179.82 billion yuan, down 2.86% [4] - The total assets reached 4.59 trillion yuan, growing by 5.5% year-on-year, while total loans increased by 4.0% to 2.44 trillion yuan [4] - The deposit scale grew by 11.0% year-on-year, providing a stable funding source for business development [4] Key Financial Metrics - The net interest margin for the first nine months of 2025 was 1.55%, slightly up by 1 basis point from the first half of 2025 [4] - Fee and commission income rose by 8.3% year-on-year to 46.94 billion yuan, indicating a recovery in non-interest income [4] - Investment income increased by 3.6% year-on-year to 127.99 billion yuan, showcasing the effectiveness of asset structure adjustments [4] Asset Quality Improvement - The non-performing loan ratio and the proportion of special mention loans both decreased, with special mention loans' balance down by 4.5 billion yuan compared to the end of June 2025 [4] - The company maintains a strong provision coverage ratio, indicating robust risk management practices [4] Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 946 billion yuan, 991 billion yuan, and 1,037 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 268 billion yuan, 275 billion yuan, and 284 billion yuan [5][6]