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航运日报:10月合约完成交割,关注马士基WEEK46周报价-20251028
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2025-10-28 07:48

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The 10 - month contract has completed delivery, and attention should be paid to Maersk's WEEK46 quotation. The 12 - month contract trading focuses on rhythm, with shipowners expected to adjust supply to keep freight rates high. The 2026 February contract may have a large expectation gap but is currently suppressed by the resumption of navigation expectation. The strategy for the 12 - month contract is to be oscillatingly strong, and there is no arbitrage strategy for now [1][5][6][8] Summary by Directory 1. Futures Price - As of October 27, 2025, the closing prices of different contracts are as follows: EC2602 contract is 1571.60, EC2604 contract is 1178.80, EC2606 contract is 1387.10, EC2608 contract is 1480.30, EC2510 contract is 1130.90, and EC2512 contract is 1775.00. The total position of all container shipping index European line futures contracts is 61,327.00 lots, and the single - day trading volume is 37,591.00 lots. The 10 - month contract delivery settlement price is 1161.63 points [4][6] 2. Spot Price - Online quotes from different shipping alliances are provided. For example, Gemini Cooperation: Maersk Shanghai - Rotterdam WEEK45 quote is 1420/2370; HPL - SPOT's first - half of November price is 1335/2135, and the second - half of November shipping schedule quote is 1735/2835. The actual landing prices in the first half of November have been gradually revised down [1] 3. Container Ship Capacity Supply - From October to December, the average weekly capacity shows different trends. In November, there are 8 blank sailings and 3 TBNs (with expected conversion to blank sailings). In December, there are 5 TBNs. As of October 26, 2025, 215 container ships have been delivered in 2025, with a total capacity of 1.7618 million TEU [3][7] 4. Supply Chain - Geopolitical factors: On October 27, local time, the Israeli military chief stated that the war against Hamas would not end until all Israeli hostages were returned. China's counter - measure against the US USTR port surcharge has relatively little impact on the European line [2][4] 5. Demand and European Economy - Not elaborated in detail in the provided content