Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5][12]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.497 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.27%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 483 million yuan, up 38.07% year-on-year [2]. - The company is a leading player in the functional hardware sector in China, with significant growth in its basic hardware segment, which saw a revenue increase of 37.06% in the first half of 2025 [2]. - The company is expanding its market presence through channel diversification, including offline distribution and e-commerce, which is crucial given the growing demand in the existing housing renovation market [3]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.047 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.99% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.11%. The net profit for the same period was 218 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 42.40% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 45.50% [2]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 37.77%, an increase of 2.27 percentage points year-on-year, while the operating cash flow increased by 68% year-on-year [4]. - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3.679 billion, 4.779 billion, and 6.288 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 693 million, 933 million, and 1.257 billion yuan, indicating strong growth expectations [5][6]. Market Trends - The domestic renovation market for existing homes is projected to grow from 8.83 million households in 2020 to 13.69 million households by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 9.17% [3]. - The company’s revenue from offline distribution, direct sales, e-commerce, and cloud business accounted for 52%, 8%, 12%, 13%, and 13% respectively in the first half of 2025, highlighting its multi-channel strategy [3].
悍高集团（001221）：业绩高速增长，经营性现金流充裕