SCC(SH:600740) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-28 10:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for Shanxi Coking Coal (600740.SH) [3][5] Core Views - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 4.589 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.84%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 50.052 million yuan, compared to a net profit of 253 million yuan in the same period last year, indicating a shift from profit to loss [1] - The decline in net profit is primarily attributed to a decrease in revenue from the coking business and reduced investment income from the associated company, China Coal Huajin, leading to a 51.09% year-on-year drop in confirmed investment net income to 918 million yuan [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.363 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 9.58% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 11.7%. However, it reported a net profit of 27.559 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 59.89%, but a quarter-on-quarter turnaround from loss to profit [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company produced 664,200 tons of coke, a year-on-year increase of 11.61%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.71%. The sales volume was 670,400 tons, up 13.86% year-on-year but down 11.99% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The average selling price of coke in Q3 2025 was 1,322.17 yuan/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 23.64% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.61%. The unit procurement cost of coking coal was 1,057.8 yuan/ton, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.68% and a year-on-year decrease of 25.76% [2] - The gross profit from coking was -126 million yuan in Q3 2025, worsening from -18.4028 million yuan in Q2 2025, indicating continued pressure on the coking business [2] Investment Outlook - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 34 million yuan, 202 million yuan, and 301 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.01, 0.08, and 0.12 yuan. The PE ratios for these years are projected to be 330, 55, and 37 times, respectively [3][4] - The report highlights that the indirect controlling shareholder, Shanxi Coking Coal Group, provides strong resource support for the company's production and development [3]