Lushang Freda Pharmaceutical (SH:600223) EBSCN·2025-10-28 10:32Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the Yilian brand is experiencing good growth momentum, while the Ai'er Doctor brand is still undergoing adjustments [5][9] - The company reported a revenue of 2.6 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million yuan, down 17.2% year-on-year [5][9] - The cosmetics segment saw a revenue decline of 8%, with the Yilian brand achieving a revenue of 790 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, while the Ai'er Doctor brand's revenue was 650 million yuan, down 28.9% [6][9] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's quarterly revenues were 880 million, 910 million, and 810 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -1.6%, -11.7%, and -8% respectively [5] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 51.5% [7] - The company's inventory as of September 2025 decreased by 20.3% year-on-year to 480 million yuan, while accounts receivable increased by 2.5% to 460 million yuan [8] Profitability and Valuation Metrics - The company’s projected net profit for 2025 is 210 million yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 38 times [10][11] - The report forecasts a decline in net profit for 2025-2027, with estimates of 210 million, 252 million, and 314 million yuan respectively [10][11] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 5.0% for 2025, increasing to 6.9% by 2027 [13]